DeSart model: In Washington trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 44.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to win 55.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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