DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton will garner 33.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to gain 33.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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