The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 64.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to garner 64.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.