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Jerome model in Pennsylvania: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Pennsylvania. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to win 46.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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