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Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Tennessee

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to win only 47.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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