The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 57.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in South Dakota. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to win only 43.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.