The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 48.7% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to gain 48.7% of the vote.
In Ohio, the election outcome is often close. This is why the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.