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DeSart model: In Oklahoma trails by a very clear margin

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 70.0% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 30.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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