Rhode Island: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with 61.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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