The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 49.7% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to win 50.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.