Jerome model: In South Carolina trails by a very clear margin
The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.4% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 46.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.