Jerome model: In South Carolina trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.4% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 46.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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