Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Oklahoma

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 56.8% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 43.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they often contain substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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