Jerome model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 45.8% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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