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Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in New Mexico

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 47.8% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 47.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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