DeSart model in New York: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 37.6% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 37.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.