DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in New Hampshire

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 49.6% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 49.6% of the vote.

New Hampshire is traditionally a battleground state, where Republicans and Democrats have historically won similar levels of voter support. This is why the election outcome here is regarded crucial in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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