The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 55.7% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to achieve 55.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they may include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.