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Jerome model in New York: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 41.1% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to gain 41.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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