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DeSart model: In New Jersey trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to garner 43.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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