The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 50.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will win 49.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 51.9% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Pennsylvania. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.6 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania, which is 2.9 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.5 percentage points lower.