Jerome model in Oregon: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will win 45.8%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 54.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Oregon. This value is 0.1 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.8% in Oregon. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 1.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.