The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 56.8%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 63.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Oklahoma. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 6.6 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 5.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 9.6 percentage points higher.