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Ohio: Clinton tied with Trump in latest NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ poll

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Results of a new poll administered by NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ were distributed. The poll asked participants from Ohio for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

Ohio is traditionally a battleground state, where the candidates of both major parties have historically won similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome here is viewed as important in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ poll results
39

Clinton

39

Trump

The results show that both candidates have the exact same level of support, each with 39.0% of the vote.

The poll was carried out from July 5 to July 10 among 848 registered voters. The error margin is +/-3.4 percentage points. This means that the levels of voter support for Trump and Clinton do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The results of the actual poll mean 50.0 % for Clinton and 50.0 % for Trump concerning the two-party vote share.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.7% and Trump 49.3% of the two-party vote in Ohio. Clinton has 0.7 percentage points less and Trump has 0.7 percentage points more when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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