QuinnipiacQuinnipiac released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
QuinnipiacQuinnipiac poll results
The poll was conducted from June 1 to June 5 among 1330 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.7 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 45.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. To compare: 54.0% was gained by Clinton in the QuinnipiacQuinnipiac poll on April 5, for Trump this number was 46.0%.
Results in comparison to other polls
When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 45.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 45.6 percentage points. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 45.4% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Connecticut.