The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 53.0% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will end up with 47.0%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 52.6% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in New Mexico. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points worse.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.3% in New Mexico. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.2 percentage points higher.