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New Franklin & MarshallF&M poll in Pennsylvania: Clinton with sizable lead

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Franklin & MarshallF&M published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Franklin & MarshallF&M poll results
49

Clinton

38

Trump

The poll was conducted from July 29 to August 2. A total of 389 likely voters responded. The margin of error is +/-6.3 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Democratic and the Republican candidate do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls often contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 43.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. To compare: 58.2% was gained by Clinton in the Franklin & MarshallF&M poll on March 29, for Trump this number was 41.8%.

Comparison to other polls

When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 45.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 45.6 percentage points. This deviation is within the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is not an outlier. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 46.8% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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