Putting the results in context

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton and 48.9% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to collect only 48.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin has Clinton at 53.2% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.0 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 2.0 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.5 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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