The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Nebraska econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 61.3%. This value is 2.9 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in Nebraska, which is 2.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 11.1 percentage points higher.