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Mississippi: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.2% for Clinton and 53.8% for Trump in Mississippi.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Mississippi has Trump at 56.2% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.4 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results are consistent with the prediction from PollyVote for Mississippi. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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