Putting the results in context

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.6% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will end up with 48.4%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Minnesota sees Clinton at 55.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 3.5 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Minnesota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.2 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.