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Jerome model: Clinton in Kentucky trails by a small margin


The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 52.2%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Trump can currently count on 58.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Kentucky. In comparison to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 6.2 percentage points better.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky, which is 7.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 5.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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