The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.3% for Clinton and 55.7% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to win 55.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, don't have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump can currently count on 59.4% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in North Dakota. This value is 3.7 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.7% in North Dakota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 8.4 percentage points higher.