The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.3% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 55.7%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in North Dakota sees Trump at 59.4% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 3.7 percentage points higher.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.7% in North Dakota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 8.5 percentage points higher.