Jerome model: Clinton in North Dakota trails by a clear margin

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.3% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will win 55.7%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in North Dakota sees Trump at 59.4% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 3.7 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.7% in North Dakota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 8.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.