The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 58.9% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 41.1%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of New York econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 60.7%. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.8 percentage points better.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in New York, which is 1.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 6.1 percentage points higher.