Jerome model in Delaware: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 55.4%. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware, which is 1.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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