Jerome model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Connecticut.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Connecticut has Clinton at 55.1% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.6 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.