The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Connecticut has Clinton at 55.1% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.6 percentage points better.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.7 percentage points higher.