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Wyoming: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 32.3% for Clinton and 67.7% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was predicted to obtain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 71.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Wyoming. This value is 3.4 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 70.8% in Wyoming. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 20.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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