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Jerome model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton and 47.2% for Trump in Washington.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Washington. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.1% in Washington. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 0.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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