The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton and 47.2% for Trump in Washington.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Washington. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points higher.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.1% in Washington. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 0.0 percentage points higher.