The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will win 45.8%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they may contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 60.4% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Vermont. This value is 6.2 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.7% in Vermont. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.4 percentage points higher.