Jerome model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.7% for Clinton and 38.3% for Trump in Rhode Island.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 61.9% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Rhode Island. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island, which is 1.3 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 8.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.