The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.9% for Clinton and 41.1% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to collect only 41.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 60.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in New York. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.8 percentage points higher.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.6% in New York. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 6.2 percentage points higher.