Hit enter after type your search item

Missouri: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

/
/
/
13 Views

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.6%. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to achieve 52.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 55.0% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Missouri. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.4 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.7% in Missouri. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 5.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar