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Jerome model: Trump in Massachusetts trails by a very clear margin


The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.6% for Clinton and 38.4% for Trump in Massachusetts.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Massachusetts sees Clinton at 62.1% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.5 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.6% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts, which is 2.0 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 8.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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