Jerome model: Trump in Maryland trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will garner 60.8% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, while Trump will win 39.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 61.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maryland. This value is 0.3 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.3% in Maryland. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 8.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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