Hit enter after type your search item

Jerome model: Clinton with clear lead in Hawaii

/
/
/
27 Views

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.1% for Clinton and 41.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Hawaii sees Clinton at 64.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.0 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 67.8% of the two-party vote in Hawaii, which is 9.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 5.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar