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Jerome model in Maryland: Clinton with very clear lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 60.8% for Clinton and 39.2% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Maryland sees Clinton at 61.1% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.3 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Maryland, which is 3.5 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 8.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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