Hit enter after type your search item

Delaware: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

/
/
/
3 Views

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 46.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 55.4%. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points higher.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware, which is 1.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar