Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 32.3% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 67.7%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wyoming sees Trump at 71.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 3.4 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 70.8% in Wyoming. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 20.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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