The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain large biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 61.3% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Nebraska. In comparison to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.9 percentage points better.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 61.1% in Nebraska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 11.2 percentage points higher.