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Nebraska: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain large biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 61.3% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Nebraska. In comparison to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.9 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 61.1% in Nebraska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 11.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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