The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 53.3% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to achieve 53.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Louisiana econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 57.5%. This value is 4.2 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana, which is 4.4 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 6.0 percentage points higher.